Fleetwood Expects Fourth Quarter Earnings To Be Below Analysts' Estimates
24 April 2000
Fleetwood Expects Fourth Quarter Earnings To Be Below Analysts' EstimatesRIVERSIDE, Calif., April 20 Fleetwood Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE: FLE) today indicated that earnings for its fourth quarter and fiscal year that will end April 30, 2000 will be below the prior year, and will fall short of analysts' expectations, primarily due to difficult market conditions. Fleetwood President Nelson W. Potter stated, "It now appears that our fourth quarter earnings will fall approximately 30 to 40 percent below the consensus estimate of $0.52 per diluted share. Diluted earnings per share for the current year should be in the range of $2.35 to $2.40 compared to $2.94 in the prior year," Potter said. Potter added, "On March 1, we communicated that the fourth quarter would be a challenging period for Fleetwood, based on the expected continuing weakness in the market for manufactured housing. Business conditions in the manufactured housing industry have since weakened further because of a less favorable financing environment for retail buyers. In Fleetwood's fourth quarter, the housing weakness was compounded by a slowdown in recreational vehicle sales and margin pressure caused by changes in Fleetwood's RV product mix. These unfavorable RV developments are largely concentrated in the motor home business," Potter said. Commenting further, Potter said, "Approximately $0.05 per share of the expected fourth quarter shortfall is related to a non-recurring charge to bolster reserves for self-insured health benefits." "The retail financing environment for manufactured housing, which has been eroding for over a year, became even more difficult during Fleetwood's fourth quarter," Potter said. "The combination of reduced financing availability, due to more stringent lender imposed credit standards, and higher interest rates, has eliminated many potential buyers. Encouragingly, retail traffic and buyer interest continue at a healthy pace. The challenge is qualifying these prospective buyers for home loans." "Consumer demand for recreational vehicles has been robust in recent months, but the rate of growth has been slowing," Potter remarked. "To put this into perspective, calendar 1999 was the strongest year for the RV industry in over twenty years. Overall, Fleetwood motor home retail sales in the fiscal fourth quarter have been fairly comparable to the prior-year period. However, we have recently observed some regional pockets of softening demand, and have already adjusted our production schedules and shipping rates accordingly to avoid building potential excess retail inventory. We believe that RV retail inventories have now reached levels commensurate with consumer demand, which means that our factory shipments going forward will depend entirely on retail sales." Potter concluded by saying, "Despite current market difficulties, we remain optimistic about the long-term prospects for both of our core businesses. As the market leader with 50 years of experience in manufactured housing and recreational vehicles, we are in a strong position to take full advantage of the projected favorable demographic trends that will drive the future growth of these industries." Fleetwood expects to report preliminary fourth quarter sales information on May 3 and final sales and earnings results on May 31. Fleetwood is the nation's largest manufacturer of recreational vehicles and a leading producer and retailer of manufactured housing. This press release contains certain forward-looking statements and information based on the beliefs of the Company's management as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, the Company's management. Such statements reflect the current views of the Company with respect to future events and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, including risk factors identified in the Company's SEC filings. Actual results, events and performance may differ materially. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof.