DCR Reaffirms Ford's Long-Term Ratings
17 April 2000
DCR Reaffirms Ford's Long-Term Ratings, Lowers Ford Credit's Short-Term RatingsCHICAGO, April 14 Duff & Phelps Credit Rating Co. (DCR) (NYSE: DCR) has reaffirmed the term debt and preferred stock ratings of Ford Motor Company (Ford) (NYSE: F) and its automotive financing subsidiary, Ford Motor Credit Company (Ford Credit), in light of Ford's announcement today of major shareholder actions. The senior debt ratings for Ford and Ford Credit are `A+' (Single-A-Plus), and the ratings for Ford's preferred stock, the Trust Originated Preferred Securities issued by Ford Motor Company Capital Trust I, and Ford Credit's subordinated notes are `A' (Single-A). The Rating Outlook continues to be Stable. The commercial paper ratings for Ford Credit and its European subsidiary, FCE Bank plc, have been lowered from `D-1+' (D-One-Plus) to `D-1' (D-One), while the commercial paper rating for The Hertz Corporation, Ford's 81 percent-owned rental car subsidiary, has been reaffirmed at `D-1' (D-One). Besides the announcement that Ford's Visteon components group will be spun-off later this year -- a move previously indicated and anticipated in DCR's ratings -- Ford has announced a cash distribution to shareholders of up to $10 billion as part of a share exchange. DCR does not view the cash distribution as a change in Ford's long-term financial strategy. The ratings previously assumed that Ford would maintain cash reserves of $12-15 billion as cyclical protection and that cash beyond those levels would be used for strategic options such as acquisitions and shareholder distributions. Ford had $23.6 billion of manufacturing cash on hand at year-end 1999, plus approximately $4 billion in short-term VEBA trusts and intercompany investments. Manufacturing operations generated more than $6 billion of free cash flow (net of capital expenditures and Ford dividends) in 1999, and sales levels and product mix continue to be robust in 2000. The shareholder actions do significantly change the size of new acquisitions that can be made near-term within the current debt ratings. Ford will need $2 billion of cash up-front to close the pending Land Rover acquisition, as well as $1.6 billion of cash in early 2001 for the final payment for the Volvo car acquisition. DCR acknowledges that Ford will continue to actively explore strategic opportunities, such as the auction of Daewoo Motor that is currently underway, but the rating assumes that potential acquisitions will have a size and timing which will enable Ford to fund them primarily with free operating cash flow. Ford had approximately $13 billion of total manufacturing debt and preferred securities outstanding at year-end 1999, while Ford Credit had $133 in debt, including $42 billion of commercial paper, and Hertz had $2.5 billion of commercial paper. Ford Credit's commercial paper rating was downgraded primarily due to the lower liquidity after the shareholder actions, particularly the significant drop in net manufacturing liquidity (manufacturing cash minus manufacturing debt).