Lache Initiates Research Coverage of the North American Tire Industry
3 March 2000
Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown's Lache Initiates Research Coverage of the North American Tire IndustryNEW YORK, March 2 -- Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown's Rod Lache yesterday launched research coverage of the North American tire industry with the initiation of The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (GT -- 21 5/8) and Cooper Tire & Rubber Company (CTB -- 10 9/16). The shares of both companies were started with an investment rating of MARKET PERFORM. Despite the fact that the tire industry has continued to consolidate, the benefits of a concentrated oligopoly have not yet materialized. "Many industries experience improving returns through stronger pricing and operating leverage as they become more concentrated, and many investors have surmised that the same phenomenon will occur in the tire industry over time," said Lache. "Unfortunately, there is little tangible evidence that this is occurring at this time." Lache draws on the following key themes as the basis for his investment opinion: -- Tires are a commodity; -- The industry is overcapacitized; and -- The potential exists for a margin squeeze as raw material costs are likely to rise significantly in 2000. According to Lache, "The fundamental problem in the tire industry appears to be overcapacity, in our view, in an industry that appears to have limited product differentiation. Moreover, we believe that near-term risks related to raw material prices, acquisition integration, new purchasing schemes, and auto makers entering the aftermarket, are likely to keep a lid on valuations for the near term." Additional Information Available Upon Request Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown identifies the U.S. investment banking activities of DB Alex. Brown LLC and Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., which are indirect subsidiaries of Deutsche Bank AG. With over $869 billion in assets as of September 30, 1999 and approximately 90,000 employees, Deutsche Bank offers its clients unparalleled financial services throughout the world. It ranks among the leaders in asset management, capital markets, corporate finance, custody, cash management and private banking. Deutsche Bank is divided into five major business units: Global Corporates and Institutions, Global Technology and Services, Asset Management, Corporates and Real Estates and Private and Retail Banking. Cooper Tire & Rubber Company and The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company stocks are optionable. Information herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Opinions, estimates, and projections constitute our judgement and are subject to change without notice. This publication is provided to you for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the sale of any financial instrument. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., DB Alex. Brown LLC., and their affiliates worldwide, may hold a position or act as market maker in the financial instruments of any issuer discussed herein or act as advisor or lender to such issuer. Transaction should be executed through a Deutsche Bank entity in the client's home jurisdiction unless otherwise permitted by law. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., and DB Alex. Brown LLC., are members of NYSE and NASD. Copyright 2000 Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., and DB Alex. Brown LLC. In the U.S. this report may be distributed either by Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., or DB Alex. Brown LLC. Interested parties are advised to contact the U.S. entity they currently deal with, or the U.S. entity that has distributed this report to them.