DCR Assigns 'A-' to General Motors' Yen-denominated Global Notes
12 November 1999
DCR Assigns 'A-' to General Motors' Yen-denominated Global NotesCHICAGO, Nov. 12 -- Duff & Phelps Credit Rating Co. (DCR) has assigned a 'A-' (Single A-Minus) debt rating to General Motors Corporation's newly issued 50 billion Yen of five-year, fixed 1.25 percent global notes. This rating reflects the global notes as general, unsecured obligations of General Motors, the U.S.-based automaker. DCR does not view the new issue, which currently would be the equivalent of $476 million, as a change in GM's average debt levels or financial leverage, since GM has nearly $800 million of term debt maturities in 2000 and GM's short-term debt was nearly $700 million on September 30, 1999. The new issue also will fit within GM's overall financial strategy as a currency translation hedge for GM's significant equity investments (totaling 115 billion Yen at current market values) in Japan-based affiliates Isuzu Motors and Suzuki Motors. The rating outlook for GM is positive. In core North American operations, GM's new products and other initiatives have begun to stabilize its market share at roughly 30 percent after fifteen years of secular decline. This is a key rating factor, for while new labor contracts significantly increase wage and benefit rates over the next four years, GM should still be able to continue to utilize the high attrition rate in its relatively older work force to lower headcount. If GM holds market share, it may finally achieve staffing levels that match its market position. Other types of cost reductions, such as material purchasing and manufacturing expense savings, have helped GM to narrow a profitability gap versus major competitors and should continue to be significant. After many years of very strong performance, GM's international operations have provided negligible free operating cash flow for the last three years due to weak operating performance along with increased capital investment. GM Europe, by far GM's largest international operation, should regain some of the market share loss (GM's share of Western Europe dropped from 12.4 percent in 1995 to 10.7 percent in 1998) and cost reductions have bolstered profitability, but the pricing environment continues to deteriorate due to intense competition and excess capacity. Latin American operations continue to struggle because of the steep market declines from the region's continuing economic crisis, but GM's profitability continues to outshine major competitors and GM has recently been gaining share in important markets. Finally, GM's pace of investment has slowed, particularly in emerging markets. GM has moderate debt levels and very good liquidity, as automotive operations had debt of $7 billion and cash and equivalents of $13 billion on September 30, 1999. However, non-pension retirement benefit liabilities are very large ($38 billion) and constrain the amount that better operating performance can improve the debt ratings. GM also owns a very significant asset in Hughes Electronics, a fast-growing telecommunications and space satellite company. However, there are currently no significant product sales or ongoing capital flows between GM and Hughes, GM does not guarantee Hughes' $2 billion of debt, and upon divestiture GM has typically spun the majority of non core operations off to shareholders. Therefore, DCR believes that Hughes Electronics can have only a minor impact on GM's debt rating near term. DCR is a leading global rating agency with 33 local market offices providing ratings and research on debt issues and insurance claims paying ability in more than 50 countries. For additional research, visit DCR's Web site at http://www.dcrco.com.