DCR Lowers General Motors Commercial Paper To 'D-1'
15 July 1998
DCR Lowers General Motors Commercial Paper To 'D-1'CHICAGO, July 15 -- Duff & Phelps Credit Rating Co. (DCR) has lowered the short-term debt rating of General Motors Corporation $1 billion commercial paper program from 'D-1+' (D-One-Plus) to 'D-1' (D-One) due to the financial impact of the labor strikes that have shutdown most of its North American automotive operations. DCR is maintaining its other current ratings for General Motors at this time, including GM's long-term debt rating of 'A-' (Single-A-Minus) and its preference stocks rating of 'BBB+' (Triple-B-Plus), as well as the current ratings for General Motors Acceptance Corp. (GMAC), whose commercial paper is rated 'D-1' (D-One) and long-term debt is rated 'A-' (Single-A-Minus). The previous 'D-1+' (D-One-Plus) rating on parent GM's commercial paper recognized the outstanding liquidity offered by GM's very large cash balance ($13.6 billion at March 31, 1998), moderate short-term debt levels and strong free cash flow. The strike-related shutdown has contributed to a sharp decline in GM's latest reported cash balance ($9.1 billion at June 30, 1998) and had a significant impact on net income (a hit of $1.2 billion in the month of June, 1998) and corresponding operating cash generation. With the chance of returning to full production in July dwindling and a further run-off of payables expected at month-end (as GM pays supplier invoices for June production prior to the shutdown) that will decrease cash, the previous rating is no longer appropriate. GM still has considerable liquidity supporting the new 'D-1' short-term rating, even if the strikes last into August. Besides the remaining substantial cash expected at July month-end, GM has the flexibility to draw upon much of the $4.5 billion of recent contributions to VEBA trusts before it elects to utilize other options such as increasing its borrowings. Once the one-time cash impact of the payables run-off in working capital is completed in July, the pace of cash drain in North America should drop considerably to a level consisting mainly of salaried workforce costs, minimal plant overhead and warranty claims, along with a possibly reduced rate of capital spending. If the strikes continue past mid-August, DCR anticipates reviewing all of its GM-related ratings, even though DCR currently believes that the GMAC ratings are more insulated from the impact of a longer strike-related shutdown than the ratings of parent GM.