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Stock Market Fluctuations Don't Slow August Car Sales


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SANTA MONICA, CA -- Aug. 27, 2015: Edmunds.com forecasts 538,958 new cars and trucks will be sold in the U.S. in August for an estimated Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate (SAAR) of 17.4 million. The projected sales will be a 2.1 percent increase from July 2015, but a 2.8 percent decrease from August 2014.

"Sales momentum in August has been strong despite recent stock market fluctuations," said Edmunds.com Senior Analyst Jessica Caldwell. "The fact that we will likely see a year-over-year decline in sales isn't a troubling sign because last August was a monster month that included Labor Day weekend."


SALES VOLUME FORECAST, BY MANUFACTURER

Sales Volume

August 2015 Forecast

August 2014

July 2015

Change from August 2014

Change from July 2015

GM

269,759

272,423

272,512

-1.0%

-1.0%

Ford

225,834

221,373

222,014

2.0%

1.7%

Toyota

216,526

246,100

217,181

-12.0%

-0.3%

FCA

199,091

198,379

178,027

0.4%

11.8%

Honda

156,962

167,038

146,324

-6.0%

7.3%

Hyundai/Kia

126,930

124,670

127,324

1.8%

-0.3%

Nissan

126,334

134,388

130,872

-6.0%

-3.5%

VW/Audi

47,910

52,282

48,954

-8.4%

-2.1%

Industry

1,538,958

1,582,700

1,507,663

-2.8%

2.1%

*NOTE: August 2015 had 26 selling days, August 2014 had 27 and July 2015 had 26.

Edmunds.com estimates that retail SAAR will come in at 15.3 million vehicles in August, with fleet transactions accounting for 12.1 percent of total sales. An estimated 3.22 million used cars will be sold in August, for a SAAR of 36.8 million (compared to 3.24 million – or a SAAR of 37.1 million – used car sales in July).

MARKET SHARE FORECAST, BY MANUFACTURER

Market Share

August 2015 Forecast

August 2014

July 2015

Change from August 2014

Change from July 2015

GM

17.5%

17.2%

18.1%

0.3%

-0.5%

Ford

14.7%

14.0%

14.7%

0.7%

-0.1%

Toyota

14.1%

15.5%

14.4%

-1.5%

-0.3%

Chrysler Group

12.9%

12.5%

11.8%

0.4%

1.1%

Honda

10.2%

10.6%

9.7%

-0.4%

0.5%

Hyundai/Kia

8.2%

7.9%

8.4%

0.4%

-0.2%

Nissan

8.2%

8.5%

8.7%

-0.3%

-0.5%

VW/Audi

3.1%

3.3%

3.2%

-0.2%

-0.1%