2010 USED CAR MARKET REPORT EXAMINES LONG-TERM STRUCTURAL
SHIFTS IN AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY, CRITICAL ROLE OF REMARKETING
Photo caption:
Manheim Consulting chief economist Tom Webb announces findings from the 2010
Used Car Market Report during Manheim's press conference at the 2010 NADA
Convention.
February 13, 2010
2010 USED CAR MARKET REPORT EXAMINES LONG-TERM STRUCTURAL SHIFTS IN
AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY, CRITICAL ROLE OF REMARKETING
15th Annual Report from Manheim Consulting Analyzes Industry Trends
ORLANDO, Fla. - Even as the economy as a whole and the U.S. automotive
industry dealt with unprecedented challenges in 2009, the used vehicle
market continued to provide stability and profit opportunities.
In addition, structural shifts created by the recession promise to have
long-term ramifications in all corners of the remarketing industry, making
it more important than ever for buyers and sellers to employ strategic
remarketing practices across a variety of channels.
These and a host of other trends are analyzed in detail in the 15th annual
edition of Manheim Consulting's Used Car Market Report, which was released
today online and at the National Automobile Dealers Association annual
convention in Orlando. The UCMR has long been considered the industry's most
comprehensive compilation of information and analyses.
The Report, available online only (visit www.manheim.com/consulting for
access), draws on Manheim's proprietary data as well as information from a
variety of industry sources. Manheim Consulting chief economist Tom Webb
presented highlights of the Report at Manheim's annual NADA news conference.
Of particular interest to franchised dealers attending the NADA event, Webb
noted that while franchised dealers' new vehicle sales dropped 21 percent in
2009, their used vehicle sales fell by only 3 percent.
"Franchised dealers have long recognized the profit opportunity in used
vehicles," he said. "In 2009, a well-run used vehicle operation often made
the difference between survival and closure. Just as used vehicles are
vitally important to franchised dealers, one of our goals with the UCMR is
to illustrate how vitally important the remarketing industry is to the
automotive industry as a whole and to the U.S. economy."
In addition to special sections on the used vehicle marketplace and the
past, present and future of remarketing, the Report features interviews with
key industry association leaders and chapters on all corners of the used
vehicle industry, including dealers, rental, leasing, government and
commercial fleets, repossessions, salvage and international remarketing.
Among the trends analyzed in the 2010 UCMR:
NEW AND USED VEHICLE MARKETS
. The new vehicle sales cycle, from a peak of 17.4 million in 2000
to the 2009 trough of 10.4 million, represented a drop of 40 percent, a
steep percentage but one that was not out of line historically: Plotting the
annual change in GDP versus the change in new vehicle sales shows that 2009
was right on the trend line.
. While total used vehicle retail sales declined for the fourth
consecutive year (to 35.5 million), the peak-to-trough decline was just 20
percent, reinforcing the truth that the used vehicle market is inherently
more stable than the new vehicle market.
AUCTIONS (IN-LANE AND ONLINE)
. Though auction volumes fell to their lowest level in a decade, it
is expected that they will return to "normal" quicker than new and used
vehicle sales due to the increased need for auction services by both buyers
and sellers.
. Wholesale used vehicle prices rose 5.1 percent in 2009 due to
reduced supply, stabilization in retail demand, and a fall in new vehicle
inventory levels.
. Online sales activity grew dramatically despite the overall drop
in auction activity: Manheim Simulcast volume increased 17 percent while
OVE.com volume grew by more than 50 percent.
. Overall visits to Manheim.com, the portal to inventory across all
of Manheim's online channels, now stand at 900,000 visits per week.
INSTITUTIONAL SELLERS
. New vehicle sales into rental fell by 25% to 1.1 million units in
2009. The shift towards "risk" vehicles (now more than 70% of purchases)
continued and the average service life of rental units lengthened.
. New lease originations fell to 1.1 million, the lowest since
leasing's infancy in the early 1980s, but off-lease volumes rose to 2.7
million units.
. A modest decline in off-lease volumes in 2010 will be followed by
steep declines in 2011 and 2012.
. Total vehicle repossessions reached a record high of 1.9 million
in 2009, but will likely fall in 2010.
. Major commercial and government fleets purchased 588,000 new
vehicles in 2009, down from 872,000 in 2008. Fleet purchases should recover
in 2010, but remain well below historic peaks.
SALVAGE
. An estimated 3.5 million vehicles were remarketed by salvage
auctions, volume that was driven largely by a higher percentage of insurance
claims being declared total losses.
About Manheim (www.manheim.com)
Manheim is the world's leading provider of vehicle remarketing services.
Through its 130 worldwide wholesale operating locations, Manheim impacts
every stage of a used vehicle's life cycle, helping commercial sellers and
automobile dealers maximize the full value of their vehicles. Drawing from
its auction transaction volume, Manheim Consulting publishes the annual Used
Car Market Report, the definitive source of data for the used car industry.
Manheim Consulting offers a wide range of services including custom
analytics, business optimization and macro economic analysis.
Manheim is the online vehicle remarketing leader, connecting buyers and
sellers to the world's largest, most comprehensive wholesale marketplace
through its extensive in-lane and online offerings. Manheim.com receives
nearly 900,000 visitors each week.
Additionally, Manheim offers services including reconditioning,
certification, inspections, dealer financing, title management and
marshaling, among others. Through its wide array of services and
technologies, industry publications, customer support and educational
offerings, Manheim gives its customers maximum control over how they buy and
sell vehicles, helping them to conduct business in the most efficient way
possible. In 2009, Manheim handled nearly 10 million used vehicles,
facilitating transactions worth more than $50 billion in value.
Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, Manheim is a subsidiary of Cox
Enterprises, a leading communications, media and automotive services
company.
# # #
Media Contact:
Lois Rossi
Director Public Relations, Manheim
(678) 645-2028