Car Dealer Stocks Now Look Like Lemons
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Washington DC June 20, 2008; The AIADA newsletter reported that starting in the mid-1990s, some of America's biggest car dealer chains went public. And for a while, the likes of AutoNation, Asbury Automotive Group, and Lithia Motors did investors proud —with the best performers doubling their value between 2003 and the middle of last year.
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"This is the first major downturn since they have gone public," says Standard & Poor's equity analyst Efraim Levy. "Let's see them perform in a downturn and we'll believe [their sales pitch]." It won't be so easy. Tight credit and $4-a-gallon gasoline have overturned many of the rosy assumptions of yesteryear. Consumers are buying smaller vehicles, which generate less profit. And to buy them, Americans are trading in gas-sucking SUVs that are harder to sell than snow tires in August.
Analysts say the stocks are so beaten down that some are a good buy. And profits should improve as the chains cut costs. But much depends on what happens to new car sales - and with credit still tight, many industry watchers are predicting a prolonged drought.
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