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Polaris Reports Third Quarter 2006 Results

MINNEAPOLIS--Polaris Industries Inc. :

Third Quarter Highlights:

  1. Earnings per share from continuing operations in line with guidance
  2. Victory motorcycle sales grew 60%
  3. Revising full year 2006 earnings from continuing operations guidance to $2.68 to $2.73 per diluted share
  4. Full year 2006 sales are now expected to be down 11 to 12 percent due to further reduction of retail ATV inventory levels

Polaris Industries Inc. today reported net income from continuing operations of $ 42.7 million, or $1.04 per diluted share for the third quarter ended September 30, 2006, within the range of previously issued guidance. By comparison, 2005 third quarter net income from continuing operations as adjusted for the impact of SFAS 123(R) was $48.6 million, or $1.11 per diluted share. Sales from continuing operations for the third quarter 2006 totaled $490.1 million, a decrease of 10 percent from $543.1 million last year.

Tom Tiller, Chief Executive Officer, commented, As expected, snowmobile sales in the third quarter 2006 were less than last year due to significantly lower production in the current year. In addition, a declining overall industry and a continued focus on reducing ATV inventories by our North American dealers negatively impacted third quarter 2006 sales. Partially offsetting this, however, was strength in our RANGER utility vehicle product line and continued improvement in Victorys market position within the North American motorcycle cruiser industry. Additionally, improved results from other income streams, such as financial services, and lower operating expenses resulted in earnings within the range of previously issued guidance despite soft product sales in our base ATV and snowmobile businesses.

Tiller continued, Although our dealers have made progress in lowering ATV inventory levels, the continued weakness in the ATV industry has caused dealers to become more conservative in their ordering patterns as the year has progressed. As a result, recent dealer orders of ATVs indicate that dealers intend to reduce ATV inventories further. In light of this and the overall economic uncertainty surrounding consumer spending, going forward we will continue to reduce ATV production and shipments, continue aggressive promotional spending in addition to incremental advertising to help drive ATV retail sales. In doing so, however, although disappointing to me and the entire Polaris team, we must lower our full year 2006 diluted earnings per share from continuing operations guidance to the range of $2.68 to $2.73 per share, compared to $3.15 per share for the full year 2005. Our new guidance reflects a reduction in sales for the full year 2006 in the range of down eleven to twelve percent from the sales for the full year 2005. Fourth quarter 2006 diluted earnings per share from continuing operations is expected to be in the range of $0.89 to $0.94 per share compared to $0.99 per share for the fourth quarter of 2005, reflecting an estimated reduction in sales for the fourth quarter 2006 in the range of thirteen to sixteen percent from the fourth quarter 2005.

Tiller added, Although we are currently working through some near-term challenges in our core businesses, we remain confident in our value proposition and committed to building quality products that best serve consumers needs. 2006 has been a year of inventory rebalancing for both Polaris and our dealers and we are focused on taking the necessary steps now to become more competitive. We also have received positive feedback on our July 2006 introduction of the 2007 model year products for ATVs, RANGERS and motorcycles, and look forward to bringing additional innovative products to the market in the coming years. We remain committed to investing in research and development in order to drive growth across our current and future product lines, while continuing to streamline our business through ongoing efficiency improvements, low cost sourcing and expense management. At the same time, we are seeking to utilize our cash flow to maximize shareholder value, balancing growth initiatives with other value-added opportunities such as the share repurchase program.

Taking into consideration the steps we are taking in 2006 and our current outlook on the ATV market, inventory levels and our volume expectations for 2007, we currently expect earnings per share from continuing operations to improve for the full year 2007 over 2006. We will give further guidance regarding our 2007 outlook during our fourth quarter earnings call in January, concluded Tiller.

Nine Month Results from Continuing Operations

For the nine months ended September 30, 2006, Polaris reported net income from continuing operations of $76.7 million or $1.81 per diluted share compared to net income from continuing operations of $95.6 million or $2.16 per diluted share for the nine months ended September 30, 2005 as adjusted for the impact of SFAS 123(R). Sales from continuing operations for the nine-month period ended September 30, 2006 totaled $1,207.9 million, down ten percent compared to sales from continuing operations of $1,343.7 million for the nine-month period in 2005.

Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation

Polaris adopted SFAS 123(R) "Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation" effective the beginning of fiscal year 2006 using the modified retrospective method. All prior periods have been adjusted to give effect to the adoption of SFAS 123(R) using the modified retrospective method.

Discontinued Operations Results

The Company ceased manufacturing marine products on September 2, 2004. As a result, the marine products divisions financial results are being reported separately as discontinued operations for all periods presented. The Companys third quarter 2006 loss from discontinued operations was $0.3 million, net of tax, or less than $0.01 per diluted share, compared to a loss of $0.3 million, net of tax, or less than $0.01 per diluted share in the third quarter 2005. Reported net income for the third quarter 2006, including both continuing and discontinued operations was $42.5 million, or $1.03 per diluted share compared to $48.3 million, or $1.11 per diluted share in the third quarter of 2005. For the nine months ended September 30, 2006, the loss from discontinued operations was $0.5 million, after tax, or $0.01 per diluted share, compared to a loss of $0.7 million or $0.02 per diluted share in 2005. Reported net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2006, including each of continuing and discontinued operations, the loss on disposal of discontinued operations and the cumulative effect of the SFAS 123(R) accounting change was $74.6 million or $1.76 per diluted share, compared to $94.9 million, or $2.15 per diluted share for the nine months ended September 30, 2005.

(In millions except per share data)

       
  3rd Quarter ended

September 30,

  Nine Months ended

September 30,

  2006   2005   Change   2006   2005   Change
Sales $490.1    $543.1    -10%   $1,207.9    $1,343.7    -10%
Operating income from continuing operations $60.3    $70.5    -15%   $113.8    $143.3    -21%
Net Income from continuing operations $42.7    $48.6    -12%   $76.7    $95.6    -20%
Earnings per share from continuing operations (diluted) $1.04    $1.11    -6%   $1.81    $2.16    -16%
Net Income $42.5    $48.3    -12%   $74.6    $94.9    -21%
Earnings per share (diluted) $1.03    $1.11    -7%   $1.76    $2.15    -18%

Note: 2005 results have been adjusted to reflect the implementation of SFAS 123(R) using the modified retrospective method.

ATV (all-terrain vehicle) sales in the third quarter 2006 decreased 12 percent from the third quarter 2005. This drop is largely attributable to North American dealers scaling back orders in an effort to further reduce inventory levels. As a result, dealer inventory levels in North America were slightly lower at the end of the third quarter 2006 than at the end of the third quarter 2005. Also impacting sales were lower International revenues due to continued softness in the southern region of Europe, particularly in Spain and France. Despite the lower sales performance, several of the Companys newer products continued to show growth during the quarter including the entry-level Hawkeye ATV and the two-up ATV--the Sportsman X2. Polaris also experienced double digit sales growth during the third quarter and year-to-date 2006 periods in the RANGER product line with the hardest working, smoothest riding utility vehicle in the industry and the overall utility vehicle market continued to perform well. Year-to-date 2006 ATV sales decreased nine percent from 2005 to a total of $838.6 million.

Sales of Victory motorcycles increased 60 percent during the third quarter 2006, as compared to the third quarter of 2005. This increase in sales continues the positive trend Victory has experienced for the past several quarters driven by increased brand recognition, the continued success of the Hammer and Vegas Jackpot models in addition to the new 2007 Kingpin Tour and Hammer S models introduced in July, positive customer response to a more powerful 100 cubic inch engine and six speed transmission, and increased market penetration, made possible by improvements in the dealer network. Year-to-date 2006 Victory motorcycle sales increased 28 percent over the comparable period of 2005, to a total of $78.9 million.

Snowmobile sales decreased 16 percent to $87.2 million for the 2006 third quarter compared to $104.2 million for the prior years third quarter as expected. Shipments in the third quarter 2006 were lower as a result of a significant decrease in dealer orders for 2007 model year snowmobiles. As discussed in prior communications, the reduced levels of dealer orders resulted from increased dealer inventory levels at the end of the prior 2005-2006 snowmobile season due to below average snowfall across many regions of North America and quality issues relating to certain 2005 and 2006 model year snowmobiles. During the third quarter 2006 the Company began shipping its new Polaris IQ and RMK models which utilize the new 600 HO Cleanfire semi-direct injection engine technology which has received positive reviews. Year-to-date 2006 snowmobile sales totaled $95.0 million compared to 2005 year-to-date sales of $163.3 million.

Parts, Garments, and Accessories (PG&A) sales decreased four percent for the third quarter and two percent for the year-to-date periods ended September 30, 2006 respectively, compared to the same periods in 2005. The decline in PG&A sales was primarily related to lower shipments of ATVs and snowmobiles during the quarter and year to date periods.

Gross profit, as a percentage of sales, was 20.9 percent for the third quarter 2006, a decrease from 23.0 percent in the comparable quarter of 2005. During the third quarter 2006, increased commodity costs, higher promotional expenses and reduced manufacturing and logistics efficiencies due to lower sales volume were partially offset by increased sales of higher gross margin products, favorable currency effects and savings from various cost reduction initiatives. For the first nine months of 2006, gross profit, as a percentage of sales, was 21.0 percent compared to 22.5 percent for the comparable nine-month period in 2005.

For the third quarter 2006, operating expenses decreased 15 percent to $55.1 million or 11.2 percent of sales compared to $64.6 million or 11.9 percent of sales for the third quarter of 2005. For the year-to-date period, operating expenses decreased seven percent to $173.3 million from $186.0 million in 2005. Operating expenses in absolute dollars for the third quarter and year-to-date 2006 periods and as a percentage of sales for the third quarter 2006 decreased due to the reduction in compensation plan expenses resulting from the Companys lower profitability and lower stock price during 2006 as well as operating cost control measures taken. For the nine-month period ended September 30, 2006, operating expenses, as a percentage of sales, increased to 14.3 percent of sales compared to 13.8 percent of sales for the same period in 2005 due to the lower sales volumes which were partially offset by operating expense control measures taken.

Income from financial services increased 24 percent to $12.7 million in the third quarter 2006, up from $10.2 million in the third quarter 2005, due to increased profits generated by the retail and wholesale credit portfolios. Income from financial services for the year-to-date period ended September 30, 2006 increased 25 percent to $33.6 million compared to $27.0 million for the same period in 2005. The increase in income from the wholesale credit portfolio in the 2006 periods is the result of higher interest rates and continued elevated dealer inventory levels. The income generated from the retail credit portfolio has increased in the 2006 periods in part due to the success of an additional offering to Polaris dealers to finance their used and non-Polaris products through Polaris retail credit relationship with HSBC.

Interest expense increased to $2.6 million and $6.1 million for the 2006 third quarter and year-to-date periods, respectively, compared to $1.6 million and $3.3 million for the third quarter and year-to-date periods, respectively, of 2005. The increase is due to higher debt levels and increased interest rates during the 2006 periods.

Equity in income of manufacturing affiliates (which primarily represents the Companys portion of income from its investment in 25 percent of KTM Power Sports AG, an Austrian motorcycle manufacturer) totaled $2.7 million for the third quarter of 2006 and $3.6 million for the 2006 year to date period. The Company purchased a 25 percent interest in KTM in July 2005.

Financial Position and Cash Flow

Net cash provided by operating activities of continuing operations for the third quarter of 2006 totaled $83.5 million compared to $108.8 million in the third quarter of 2005. For the nine-month period ended September 30, 2006, net cash provided by operating activities of continuing operations totaled $92.5 million compared to $101.7 million for the first nine months of 2005. The decrease in net cash provided by operating activities during the first nine months of 2006 was primarily due to a decrease in the net income from continuing operations during that period compared to the same period last year. The Companys debt to total capital ratio was 19 percent at September 30, 2006, compared to five percent at the same time a year ago, resulting primarily from a continued aggressive share repurchase program and the lower earnings results. Cash and cash equivalents were $9.1 million at September 30, 2006 compared to $13.4 million a year ago.

Share Buyback Continues

During the third quarter 2006 the Company repurchased and retired 1,323,000 shares of its common stock for $51.2 million, bringing total share repurchases to 2.6 million shares, or $109.4 million for the year-to-date period ended September 30, 2006. Since inception of the share repurchase program in 1996, approximately 24.9 million shares have been repurchased at an average price of $27.71 per share. As of September 30, 2006, the Company has authorization from its Board of Directors to repurchase up to an additional 2.1 million shares of Polaris stock.

Conference Call to be Held

Today at 9:00 AM (CDT) Polaris Industries Inc. will host a conference call to discuss Polaris third quarter 2006 earnings results released this morning. The conference call is accessible by dialing 800-374-6475 in the U.S. and Canada or 706-679-2596 for International calls or via the Investor Relations page of the Companys web site, www.polarisindustries.com (click on Our Company then Investor Relations). The conference call will be available through Thursday, October 19, 2006 by dialing 800-642-1687 in the U.S. and Canada, or 706-645-9291 for International calls and entering passcode 7216103, and on Polaris web site.

About Polaris

Information about the complete line of Polaris products is available from authorized Polaris dealers or from the Polaris homepage at www.polarisindustries.com.

With annual 2005 sales of $1.9 billion, Polaris designs, engineers, manufactures and markets snowmobiles, all-terrain vehicles (ATVs), Victory motorcycles and the Polaris RANGER for recreational and utility use.

Polaris is a recognized leader in the snowmobile industry and one of the largest manufacturers of ATVs in the world. Victory motorcycles, established in 1998 and representing the first all-new American-made motorcycle from a major company in nearly 60 years, are rapidly making impressive in-roads into the motorcycle cruiser marketplace. Polaris also enhances the riding experience with a complete line of Pure Polaris apparel, accessories and parts, available at Polaris dealerships. Consumers can also purchase apparel and vehicle accessories anytime at www.polarisindustries.com.

Polaris Industries Inc. trades on the New York Stock Exchange and the NYSE Arca under the symbol PII, and the Company is included in the S&P Small-Cap 600 stock price index.

Except for historical information contained herein, the matters set forth in this news release, including managements expectations regarding 2006 and 2007 sales, shipments, net income and cash flow, are forward-looking statements that involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those forward-looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as product offerings, promotional activities and pricing strategies by competitors; warranty expenses; foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations; effects of the KTM relationship; environmental and product safety regulatory activity; effects of weather; commodity costs; uninsured product liability claims; and overall economic conditions, including inflation and consumer confidence and spending. Investors are also directed to consider other risks and uncertainties discussed in documents filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
and Other Selected Financial Information
(In Thousands, Except Per Share Data)
(Unaudited)
 
For Three Months For Nine Months
Ended September 30, Ended September 30,
2006 2005 2006 2005
Sales $ 490,090  $ 543,124  $ 1,207,934  $ 1,343,732 
Cost of sales 387,439  418,222  954,462  1,041,421 
Gross profit 102,651  124,902  253,472  302,311 
Operating expenses
Selling and marketing 26,614  28,297  81,484  82,847 
Research and development 16,343  18,550  53,550  53,793 
General and administrative 12,132  17,750  38,250  49,316 
Total operating expenses 55,089  64,597  173,284  185,956 
 
Income from financial services 12,696  10,203  33,568  26,951 
Operating Income 60,258  70,508  113,756  143,306 
 
Non-operating Expense (Income):
Interest expense 2,581  1,552  6,129  3,310 
Equity in (income) of manufacturing affiliates (2,653) (945) (3,614) (945)
Other expense (income), net 652  1,159  751  2,403 

Income before income taxes

59,678  68,742  110,490  138,538 
 
Provision for Income Taxes 16,935  20,133  33,825  42,932 
Net Income from continuing operations $ 42,743  $ 48,609  $ 76,665  $ 95,606 
Loss from discontinued operations, net of tax (259) $ (265) (466) $ (685)
Loss on disposal of discontinued operations, net of tax (2,021)
Cumulative effect of accounting change, net of tax -  -  407  - 
Net Income $ 42,484  $ 48,344  $ 74,585  $ 94,921 
Basic Net Income per share
Continuing operations $ 1.06  $ 1.16  $ 1.86  $ 2.26 
Loss from discontinued operations (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.02)
Loss on disposal of discontinued operations (0.05)
Cumulative effect of accounting change -  -  0.01  - 
Net Income $ 1.05  $ 1.15  $ 1.81  $ 2.24 
 
Diluted Net Income per share
Continuing operations $ 1.04  $ 1.11  $ 1.81  $ 2.16 
Loss from discontinued operations (0.01) (0.00) (0.01) (0.01)
Loss on disposal of discontinued operations (0.05)
Cumulative effect of accounting change -  -  0.01  - 
Net Income $ 1.03  $ 1.11  $ 1.76  $ 2.15 
 
Weighted average shares outstanding:
Basic 40,277  41,962  41,154  42,349 
Diluted 41,257  43,600  42,319  44,185 
Business Unit Information

Third Qtr Ended

September 30,

Nine Months Ended

September 30,

2006 2005 % chg 2006 2005 % chg
Snowmobiles $ 87,195  $ 104,174  -16% $ 95,009  $ 163,305  -42%
All-Terrain Vehicles 308,286  351,175  -12% 838,566  919,419  -9%
Victory Motorcycles 25,806  16,173  60% 78,938  61,736  28%
Parts, Garments & Accessories 68,803  71,602  -4% 195,421  199,272  -2%
Total Sales $ 490,090  $ 543,124  -10% $ 1,207,934  $ 1,343,732  -10%
 
 

2005 results have been adjusted to reflect the adoption of SFAS 123R under the modified retrospective method. All periods presented reflect the classification of the Marine Division's financial results as discontinued operations.

POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(In Thousands)
 
 
September 30, 2006 September 30, 2005
(Unaudited) (Unaudited)
Assets

Current Assets

Cash and cash equivalents $ 9,086  $ 13,410 
Trade receivables, net 79,006  68,527 
Inventories, net 243,936  249,890 
Prepaid expenses and other 13,717  13,718 
Deferred tax assets 55,259  60,644 
Current assets from discontinued operations 354 
Total current assets 401,004  406,543 
 
Property and equipment, net 207,909  222,715 
Investments in finance affiliate 53,106  48,274 
Investments in manufacturing affiliates 97,348  88,963 
Deferred income taxes 1,172  4,754 
Goodwill, net 25,387  25,006 
Intangible and other assets, net 154  241 
Total Assets $786,080  $796,496 
 
Liabilities and Shareholders Equity
Current Liabilities:
Accounts payable $133,447  $146,316 
Accrued expenses 231,310  229,263 
Income taxes payable 8,137  37,530 
Current liabilities from discontinued operations 2,014  7,098 
Total current liabilities 374,908  420,207 
 
Borrowings under credit agreement 78,000  18,000 
Total liabilities $452,908  $438,207 
 
Shareholders Equity:
Preferred stock $0.01 par value, 20,000 shares authorized, no shares issued and outstanding    
Common stock $0.01 par value, 80,000 shares authorized, 39,352 and 41,815 shares issued and outstanding $ 394  $ 418 
Additional paid-in capital    
Retained earnings 324,322  358,324 
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net 8,456  (453)
Total shareholders' equity $333,172  $358,289 
 
Total Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity $786,080  $796,496 
 
 

2005 results have been adjusted to reflect the adoption of SFAS 123R under the modified retrospective method. All periods reflect the classification of the Marine Division results as discontinued operations.

POLARIS INDUSTRIES INC.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(In Thousands)
(Unaudited)
 
 
For Nine Months
Ended September 30,
2006 2005
Operating Activities:
Net income before cumulative effect of accounting change $ 74,178  $ 94,921 
Net loss from discontinued operations 2,487  685 
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by (used for)
operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization 52,280  47,466 
Noncash compensation 9,690  16,632 
Noncash income from financial services (12,708) (9,669)
Noncash income from manufacturing affiliates (3,614) (945)
Deferred income taxes 5,570  (1,583)
Changes in current operating items:
Trade receivables (657) 2,645 
Inventories (41,916) (76,264)
Accounts payable 36,383  50,014 
Accrued expenses (32,419) (23,441)
Income taxes payable (1,291) 6,529 
Prepaid expenses and others, net 4,478  (5,255)
Net cash provided by continuing operations 92,461  101,735 
Net cash flow (used for) discontinued operations (5,753) (14,316)
Net cash provided by operating activities 86,708  87,419 
 
Investing Activities:
Purchase of property and equipment (38,073) (69,423)
Investments in finance affiliate and retail credit deposit, net 19,203  59,781 
Investments in manufacturing affiliates (85,443)
Net cash used for investing activities (18,870) (95,085)
 
Financing Activities:
Borrowings under credit agreement 521,000  554,000 
Repayments under credit agreement (461,000) (554,000)
Repurchase and retirement of common shares (109,353) (111,297)
Cash dividends to shareholders (38,187) (35,329)
Tax effect of exercise of stock options 7,396  12,414 
Proceeds from stock issuances under employee plans 1,717  16,819 
 
Net cash used for financing activities (78,427) (117,393)
 
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents (10,589) (125,059)
 
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period 19,675  138,469 
 
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period $ 9,086  $ 13,410 
 

2005 results have been adjusted to reflect the adoption of SFAS 123R under the modified retrospective method. All periods presented reflect the classification of the marine division's financial results as discontinued operations.