European Market for Next-Generation Diesel Engine Technologies

London, UK, 30 March 2005…Diesel engine technologies have registered tremendous growth in recent years, driven by the increasing market share enjoyed by Diesel engines in Europe. Modern Diesel engines are being compelled to comply with various emission regulations and performance requirements that are helping drive the evolution of Diesel technologies from conventional to more radical and innovative ones.

Frost & Sullivan (http://transportation.frost.com) estimates the total European next-generation Diesel engine technologies market to be worth $6.34 billion in 2004. The market is forecast to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.6 per cent to reach around $8.26 billion in 2012.

“Diesel engines are gaining in popularity in Europe, penetrating even vehicle segments that have traditionally been considered gasoline engine strongholds,” observes Frost & Sullivan Research Analyst Mr. Kaushik Madhavan. “With the introduction of sophisticated technologies such as variable geometry turbocharging and common rail direct injection (CRDI), the penetration of Diesel engines is expected to increase from the current 45 per cent to about 53 per cent by 2012.”

Among the various technologies, boosting techniques, engine management systems and exhaust gas after-treatment systems are attracting the maximum interest from vehicle manufacturers (VMs). Valvetrain technologies are currently in a dormant state but VMs are increasingly evaluating the potential of variable valvetrain applications in reducing pollutants.

Essentially, the growth of individual technologies depends upon the extent to which they enable diesel engines to fulfil certain important requirements. For instance, boosting techniques, engine management and after-treatment systems enable Diesel engines to provide reduced fuel consumption and emission, increased power density and performance and diminished noise, vibration and harshness (NVH) characteristics. These advantages strongly favour such technologies.

“Although valvetrain technologies exert little influence on such requirements, they are expected to play an important role in the future with emission regulations becoming progressively more stringent,” adds Mr. Madhavan.

There have been considerable developments in fuel injection equipment. CRDI is fast becoming a standard feature in the Diesel engines of modern passenger vehicles due to the many advantages it offers such as better combustion, improved emission control and reduced fuel consumption.

By 2012, fuel injection technologies are expected to account for the bulk of Diesel engine technology revenues. CRDI and unit injector technologies along with multiple injection events and variable nozzle characteristics are expected to remain the focal points of interest in the European market.

Boosting technologies have undergone similar developments, with the simple turbocharger transforming into the modern variable geometry turbocharger and double stage charging. With the specific power output of Diesel engines increasing, turbochargers are now a critical part of virtually all Diesel engines manufactured today.

Although newer technologies such as homogeneous charge compression ignition (HCCI) and selective catalyst reduction (SCR) are getting a good amount of attention as the technologies that are likely to drive Diesel engines in the future, vehicle manufacturers are still uncertain about when they can actually enter serial production.

“VMs are still struggling to understand the start of combustion in HCCI and its subsequent control,” explains Mr. Madhavan. “HCCI can be expected to feature in passenger vehicles in the European market only when VMs are able to properly comprehend its functioning.”

Among exhaust gas after-treatment systems, Diesel particulate filters (DPFs) are projected to significantly grow during the study period (2001-2012) with penetration rates likely to reach 35 per cent in 2010. VMs are recognising the strong potential of DPFs with regard to particulate matter and oxides of nitrogen reduction.

At the same time, governments are offering generous fiscal incentives for vehicles equipped with DPFs. This, combined with increasingly strict emission norms, has been greatly instrumental in encouraging the adoption of DPFs and boosting their penetration rates as well as revenues in the European market.

If you are interested in a summary of this research service providing an introduction to the European Market for Next-Generation Diesel Engine Technologies, please send an email to Magdalena Oberland, Corporate Communications at magdalena.oberland@frost.com with the following information: full name, company name, title, country, contact telephone number, email, source of information. Upon receipt of the above information, the summary will be emailed to you.

Title: European Market for Next-Generation Diesel Engine Technologies
Code: B389

Background

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For further information, please contact:

Magdalena Oberland
Corporate Communications
Frost & Sullivan
P: +44 (0) 20 7915 7876
E: magdalena.oberland@frost.com


List of key industry participants: BMW, DaimlerChrysler, Ford Motor Company, PSA Peugeot Citroën, Renault-Nissan, Volkswagen Group, GM-Fiat, Toyota, Honda 

Keywords in this release: Europe, next-generation Diesel engine technologies, variable geometry turbocharging, common rail direct injection, CRDI, boosting techniques, engine management systems, exhaust gas after-treatment systems, valvetrain systems, fuel/air systems, vehicle manufacturers, variable valvetrain applications, fuel injection equipment, unit injector technologies, multiple injection events, variable nozzle characteristics, homogeneous charge compression ignition, HCCI, selective catalyst reduction, SCR, Diesel particulate filters, DPFs,  research, information, market, trends, technology, service, forecast

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