Lots of Cars--Maybe 15.6 Million Maybe Willl be Sold in 2013


honda accord
Honda Accord

Crossovers, Pickup Trucks Lift August Sales Nearly 14 Percent, According To Kelley Blue Book Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate Still on Track to Hit 15.6 Million Units in 2013

IRVINE, CA-- Aug. 22, 2013: New-vehicle sales are expected improve 13.6 percent in August 2013 to a total of 1.46 million units, according to Kelley Blue Book, the leading provider of new and used car information. While affordable financing and generous incentive offers continue to more than offset any downside risk associated with steadily rising average transaction prices, low supply continues to impede the growth of major automakers such as Ford, Subaru and Hyundai. Given current market conditions, Kelley Blue Book believes that sales will remain on track to hit 15.6 million units in 2013.

Key Highlights for Estimated August 2013 Sales Forecast:

In August, new light-vehicle sales, including fleet, are expected to hit 1,460,000 units, up 13.6 percent from August 2012 and up 11.0 percent from July 2013. The seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) for August 2013 is estimated to be 15.6 million, up from 14.5 million in August 2012 and down from 15.8 million in July 2013. Retail sales are expected to account for 86 percent of total sales in August 2013.

Accord, Civic and CR-V Help Honda Lead the Way with 17.3 Percent Improvement in August Honda has enjoyed tremendous growth so far this year, with sales up more than 8.4 percent year-to-date through July, thanks to the success of the redesigned Accord, Civic and CR-V. Meanwhile, although not expected to post double-digit gains this month, Ford has seen sales volume improve nearly 13 percent so far this year, benefitting from its own batch of well-received redesigns. The bar is raised to new heights with every passing model year and with so many fuel-efficient, stylish alternatives available today, it has never been a better time to buy a new car.

"Most automakers are seeing double-digit sales increases compared to last year as retail sales remain a bright spot, even with more new models entering the market," said Alec Gutierrez, senior analyst at Kelley Blue Book. "Subaru continues to shine, estimated to be up 30 percent this month even with capacity constraints, and Honda once again has one of the strongest year-over-year growths. On the other hand, Ford could have been up double digits, but has been hampered with production issues from both the Escape and Fusion."

Sales Volume 1

Market Share 2

Manufacturer

Aug-13

Aug-12

YOY %

Aug-13

Aug-12

YOY %

General Motors (Buick, Cadillac, Chevrolet, GMC)

265,000

240,520

10.2%

18.2%

18.7%

-0.6%

Ford Motor Company (Ford, Lincoln)

216,000

196,749

9.8%

14.8%

15.3%

-0.5%

Toyota Motor Company (Lexus, Scion, Toyota)

214,000

188,520

13.5%

14.7%

14.7%

0.0%

Chrysler Group (Chrysler, Dodge, Jeep, RAM)

168,000

148,472

13.2%

11.5%

11.6%

0.0%

American Honda (Acura, Honda)

154,000

131,321

17.3%

10.5%

10.2%

0.3%

Nissan North America (Infiniti, Nissan)

113,000

98,515

14.7%

7.7%

7.7%

0.1%

Hyundai-Kia

119,000

111,127

7.1%

8.2%

8.6%

-0.5%

Volkswagen Group (Audi, Volkswagen)

54,000

52,538

2.8%

3.7%

4.1%

-0.4%

Total 3

1,460,000

1,285,292

13.6%

-

-

-

1 Historical data from OEM sales announcements

2 Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insights

3 Includes brands not shown

Trucks, Crossovers Remain Atop Growth Segments, While Compacts Aren't Far Behind The growth in the truck segment appears to have no end in sight, thanks in large part to the rise in new home construction taking place across the United States. In addition to gains attributed to the housing market, the auto industry is heading into the time of year where truck sales tend to ramp up. With seasonal demand predicted to increase during the next few months, Kelley Blue Book expects growth in the full-size pickup truck segment to continue unabated.

"The mid-size car segment, which had many redesigned models introduced last year, is expected to be down nearly 2 percent in market share and is being challenged by compact cars for the top segment, while both the large truck and compact crossover segments are seeing the most improvement, up nearly 1 percent," said Tim Fleming, analyst at Kelley Blue Book. "The launch of the new Toyota Corolla next month could provide the necessary sales for compact cars to become the leading segment in the industry."

Sales Volume 1

Market Share

Segment

Aug-13

Aug-12

YOY %

Aug-13

Aug-12

YOY %

Mid-Size Car

230,000

222,695

3.3%

15.8%

17.3%

-1.6%

Compact Car

225,000

190,338

18.2%

15.4%

14.8%

0.6%

Compact Crossover

185,000

151,480

22.1%

12.7%

11.8%

0.9%

Full-Size Pickup Truck

185,000

151,937

21.8%

12.7%

11.8%

0.9%

Subcompact Car

62,000

56,094

10.5%

4.2%

4.4%

-0.1%

Total 2

1,460,000

1,285,292

13.6%

-

-

-

1 Kelley Blue Book Automotive Insights

2 Includes segments not shown

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